About Us
The Website
Since 2007 SpreadTrends has provided the pro football enthusiast with the information they need to get smart about the games they make picks on. Our NFL trends let you see how teams perform in different situations. By analyzing these trends, you have the ability to compare match-ups every week to determine the best selections throughout the season. While there are some trends that are simply fun facts there are many more that can be used as an excellent handicapping tool for NFL picks or fantasy play.
Every season we provide top notch analysis by crunching NFL game data to deliver a breakdown for each NFL team on our proprietary TREND-REPORT™ pages. Our three-year and single season breakdown reports will get you ready for every NFL football game this season. With our reports you can see the tendency of a team toward covering, or failing to cover, in key situations. Our reports are kept up to date with weekly data so you will always know where a team stands, where it matters most- against the point spread.
Our site delivers quality statistics and trends that are similar to what sportsbook managers have so that you can become sharper and find an edge based on objective data. It's becoming common to rely on computers to perform deeper data analysis. To that end we offer future game analysis based on our own TREND-SEARCH™ math model. Our algorithm uses a statistical model to estimate the probability of an outcome occurring in a future matchup. Our algorithm is run through multiple iterations each week to find the best probabilities.
Our goal is to educate as well as entertain. Whether you participate in a weekly pool with your friends and colleagues, or you are simply doing research, you can use our situational NFL trends and future game analysis to make informed NFL picks or fantasy choices and increase your wins. We wish you the best of luck in the 2024 season.
The Team
Perry Marchant
We are 100% devoted to the NFL game. This website offers a useful array of handicapping data, trends, and analysis catering to a wide-range of individuals interested in the game of NFL Football- from the serious office pool player to the college researcher. As an NFL fan, with a passion for statistics that can be leveraged to beat the point spread, my hope is that you’ll find this project interesting.
Credits and Links
- We always capture the closing line in our final data because it provides the most objective data point for trend analysis. For upcoming NFL games we prefer to show lines and over/under totals from a sampling of sportsbooks. We use the point spread API from JsonOdds which aggregates and consolidates data to create a white label odds source.
- We get our forecast and historical weather information from the OpenWeatherMap API. We make our own notes on games we observed to have extreme or interesting weather conditions. In addition we note the type of surface the game was played on and the status (open or closed) of stadiums that feature a retractable roof.
- We would like to credit ColdHardFootballFacts.com for illustrating several quality stats. We use Pass Rating Differential, Scoreability, and Bendability on our Rankings page. We also calculate a Ratings Percentage Index (RPI) to rank teams based upon a their wins and losses and their strength of schedule. We calculate RPI for win/loss and strength of schedule against the spread as well as straight up.
- WalterFootball.com is seriously one of our favorite football sites. It's chock full of NFL mock drafts, player prospect rankings, and one of the largest mock draft databases on the web.
- We would like to thank Cheat Sheet War Room for their NFL Bye Week schedules and statistical analysis. Their comprehensive guide to NFL Bye Weeks are geared toward Fantasy Football but influenced our own against the spread After Bye Week team and league trends for the football bettor.
- Sports Task can assist in your marketing campaign to drive visitors to your products and or services.
- LiveBestOdds.com is a statistical website for live coefficients, scores, analytical tools, sure bets, sport live stream sources and free predictions. The main purpose of the site is to help bettors with valuable sport tools.
- We would like to thank Al O'Donnell the author of the Point Spread Playbook which was an inspiration to us. The Las Vegas Review Journal wrote that his "Playbook stays at the top of the best-seller list; every year it continues to be the best-selling football book in Nevada." He was a guest lecturer in sports handicapping at The University of Southern Nevada, and made frequent appearances on "The Stardust Casino Line" and Larry Grossman's "You Can Bet On It" show.