We don't want to rely solely on stats, trends, and rankings so we worked out the math to implement a model to predict NFL outcomes against the spread. We call our innovative math model TREND-SEARCH™ and it's based on the best set of trends from a superset of over 1 million data points defined in our proprietary database. The math model is applied to each weekly NFL matchup to find the team that matches the selected trends. Each trend used in our model is updated weekly because the past data that indicates future winners' changes that quickly in the NFL. The TREND-SEARCH math model is 100% objective and quantitative; it incorporates no subjective opinions or assumptions about teams, players, or matchups. Associated with every NFL pick is a mathematical confidence rating of 1 to 5 stars. We always post all the predictions our model made to provide full transparency.
Projected Team Is | Correct | Wrong | Push | Pct |
---|---|---|---|---|
Favorite ATS | 21 | 27 | 4 | .442 |
Underdog ATS | 38 | 38 | 3 | .500 |
Even ATS | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1.000 |
Home ATS | 9 | 11 | 0 | .450 |
Home Dog ATS | 2 | 5 | 0 | .286 |
Overall | 61 | 65 | 7 | .485 |
Projected Team Rated As | Correct | Wrong | Push | Pct |
---|---|---|---|---|
29 | 31 | 6 | .485 | |
27 | 23 | 1 | .539 | |
5 | 8 | 0 | .385 | |
0 | 3 | 0 | .000 | |
0 | 0 | 0 | .000 |
Date | Week | Day | Visitor | Home | H Line | Projected | Rating |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
12/19/24 | 16 | Thu Night | Broncos | Chargers | -2.5 | Broncos | 1 |
12/21/24 | 16 | Saturday | Texans | Chiefs | -3.5 | Texans | 1 |
12/21/24 | 16 | Sat Late | Steelers | Ravens | -6.5 | Steelers | 1 |
12/22/24 | 16 | Sunday | Browns | Bengals | -8.5 | Browns | 2 |
12/22/24 | 16 | Sunday | Titans | Colts | -3.5 | Titans | 1 |
12/22/24 | 16 | Sunday | Cardinals | Panthers | 4.5 | Cardinals | 1 |
12/22/24 | 16 | Sunday | Patriots | Bills | -14 | Patriots | 2 |
12/22/24 | 16 | Sunday | Rams | Jets | 3 | Rams | 2 |
12/22/24 | 16 | Sunday | Giants | Falcons | -9 | Giants | 1 |
12/22/24 | 16 | Sunday | Eagles | Commanders | 3.5 | Eagles | 2 |
12/22/24 | 16 | Sunday | Lions | Bears | 6.5 | Lions | 1 |
12/22/24 | 16 | Sun Late | Vikings | Seahawks | 2.5 | Vikings | 1 |
12/22/24 | 16 | Sun Late | 49ers | Dolphins | -1 | 49ers | 1 |
12/22/24 | 16 | Sun Late | Jaguars | Raiders | -1 | Jaguars | 1 |
12/22/24 | 16 | Sun Night | Buccaneers | Cowboys | 4 | Buccaneers | 1 |
12/23/24 | 16 | Mon Night | Saints | Packers | -14 | Saints | 1 |
Date | Week | Day | Visitor | Score | Home | Score | Line | Projected | Actual | Rating | Result | Margin |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
11/07/16 | 9 | Mon Night | Bills | 25 | Seahawks | 31 | -7 | Bills | Bills | 2 | Correct | 1 |
11/06/16 | 9 | Sun Night | Broncos | 20 | Raiders | 30 | -1 | Broncos | Raiders | 2 | Wrong | -9 |
11/06/16 | 9 | Sun Late | Saints | 41 | 49ers | 23 | 5 | Saints | Saints | 1 | Correct | 13 |
11/06/16 | 9 | Sun Late | Titans | 35 | Chargers | 43 | -3.5 | Chargers | Chargers | 1 | Correct | 4.5 |
11/06/16 | 9 | Sun Late | Colts | 31 | Packers | 26 | -7 | Colts | Colts | 2 | Correct | 12 |
11/06/16 | 9 | Sun Late | Panthers | 13 | Rams | 10 | 3 | Panthers | 1 | Push | 0 | |
11/06/16 | 9 | Sunday | Cowboys | 35 | Browns | 10 | 7.5 | Cowboys | Cowboys | 2 | Correct | 17.5 |
11/06/16 | 9 | Sunday | Steelers | 14 | Ravens | 21 | 3 | Steelers | Ravens | 3 | Wrong | -10 |
11/06/16 | 9 | Sunday | Eagles | 23 | Giants | 28 | -3 | Eagles | Giants | 2 | Wrong | -2 |
11/06/16 | 9 | Sunday | Jets | 23 | Dolphins | 27 | -3.5 | Jets | Dolphins | 1 | Wrong | -0.5 |
11/06/16 | 9 | Sunday | Jaguars | 14 | Chiefs | 19 | -7.5 | Jaguars | Jaguars | 2 | Correct | 2.5 |
11/06/16 | 9 | Sunday | Lions | 22 | Vikings | 16 | -5.5 | Lions | Lions | 2 | Correct | 11.5 |
11/03/16 | 9 | Thu Night | Falcons | 43 | Buccaneers | 28 | 4.5 | Falcons | Falcons | 2 | Correct | 10.5 |
10/31/16 | 8 | Mon Night | Vikings | 10 | Bears | 20 | 5 | Vikings | Bears | 1 | Wrong | -15 |
10/30/16 | 8 | Sun Night | Eagles | 23 | Cowboys | 29 | -5.5 | Eagles | Cowboys | 3 | Wrong | -0.5 |
10/30/16 | 8 | Sun Late | Packers | 32 | Falcons | 33 | -3 | Packers | Packers | 3 | Correct | 2 |
10/30/16 | 8 | Sun Late | Chargers | 19 | Broncos | 27 | -3.5 | Broncos | Broncos | 1 | Correct | 4.5 |
10/30/16 | 8 | Sunday | Commanders | 27 | Bengals | 27 | -3 | Commanders | Commanders | 2 | Correct | 3 |
10/30/16 | 8 | Sunday | Lions | 13 | Texans | 20 | -1.5 | Texans | Texans | 1 | Correct | 5.5 |
10/30/16 | 8 | Sunday | Seahawks | 20 | Saints | 25 | 1.5 | Seahawks | Saints | 3 | Wrong | -6.5 |
10/30/16 | 8 | Sunday | Patriots | 41 | Bills | 25 | 6 | Patriots | Patriots | 2 | Correct | 10 |
10/30/16 | 8 | Sunday | Jets | 31 | Browns | 28 | 2.5 | Browns | Jets | 1 | Wrong | -0.5 |
10/30/16 | 8 | Sunday | Raiders | 30 | Buccaneers | 24 | Even | Raiders | Raiders | 3 | Correct | 6 |
10/30/16 | 8 | Sunday | Chiefs | 30 | Colts | 14 | 3 | Chiefs | Chiefs | 2 | Correct | 13 |
10/30/16 | 8 | Sunday | Cardinals | 20 | Panthers | 30 | -2.5 | Cardinals | Panthers | 2 | Wrong | -7.5 |
10/27/16 | 8 | Thu Night | Jaguars | 22 | Titans | 36 | -3.5 | Jaguars | Titans | 2 | Wrong | -10.5 |
10/24/16 | 7 | Mon Night | Texans | 9 | Broncos | 27 | -9 | Broncos | Broncos | 1 | Correct | 9 |
10/23/16 | 7 | Sun Night | Seahawks | 6 | Cardinals | 6 | -1.5 | Cardinals | Seahawks | 1 | Wrong | -1.5 |
10/23/16 | 7 | Sun Late | Chargers | 33 | Falcons | 30 | -4.5 | Chargers | Chargers | 1 | Correct | 7.5 |
10/23/16 | 7 | Sun Late | Buccaneers | 34 | 49ers | 17 | -1 | Buccaneers | Buccaneers | 1 | Correct | 18 |
10/23/16 | 7 | Sun Late | Patriots | 27 | Steelers | 16 | 7 | Patriots | Patriots | 2 | Correct | 4 |
10/23/16 | 7 | Sunday | Giants | 17 | Rams | 10 | 3 | Giants | Giants | 3 | Correct | 4 |
10/23/16 | 7 | Sunday | Vikings | 10 | Eagles | 21 | 3 | Vikings | Eagles | 2 | Wrong | -14 |
10/23/16 | 7 | Sunday | Saints | 21 | Chiefs | 27 | -6.5 | Saints | Saints | 1 | Correct | 0.5 |
10/23/16 | 7 | Sunday | Commanders | 17 | Lions | 20 | 1 | Commanders | Lions | 2 | Wrong | -4 |
10/23/16 | 7 | Sunday | Browns | 17 | Bengals | 31 | -11 | Browns | Bengals | 3 | Wrong | -3 |
10/23/16 | 7 | Sunday | Bills | 25 | Dolphins | 28 | 2.5 | Bills | Dolphins | 1 | Wrong | -5.5 |
10/23/16 | 7 | Sunday | Raiders | 33 | Jaguars | 16 | -2 | Raiders | Raiders | 1 | Correct | 19 |
10/23/16 | 7 | Sunday | Colts | 34 | Titans | 26 | -4 | Colts | Colts | 3 | Correct | 12 |
10/23/16 | 7 | Sunday | Ravens | 16 | Jets | 24 | -2 | Ravens | Jets | 2 | Wrong | -6 |
10/20/16 | 7 | Thu Night | Bears | 10 | Packers | 26 | -9 | Bears | Packers | 2 | Wrong | -7 |
10/17/16 | 6 | Mon Night | Jets | 3 | Cardinals | 28 | -7 | Jets | Cardinals | 2 | Wrong | -18 |
10/16/16 | 6 | Sun Night | Colts | 23 | Texans | 26 | -3 | Colts | 1 | Push | 0 | |
10/16/16 | 6 | Sun Late | Chiefs | 26 | Raiders | 10 | 1.5 | Chiefs | Chiefs | 1 | Correct | 14.5 |
10/16/16 | 6 | Sun Late | Falcons | 24 | Seahawks | 26 | -6.5 | Seahawks | Falcons | 1 | Wrong | -4.5 |
10/16/16 | 6 | Sun Late | Cowboys | 30 | Packers | 16 | -5.5 | Packers | Cowboys | 1 | Wrong | -19.5 |
10/16/16 | 6 | Sunday | Bengals | 17 | Patriots | 35 | -7.5 | Patriots | Patriots | 1 | Correct | 10.5 |
10/16/16 | 6 | Sunday | Ravens | 23 | Giants | 27 | -3.5 | Ravens | Giants | 2 | Wrong | -0.5 |
10/16/16 | 6 | Sunday | Steelers | 15 | Dolphins | 30 | 7.5 | Steelers | Dolphins | 1 | Wrong | -22.5 |
10/16/16 | 6 | Sunday | Panthers | 38 | Saints | 41 | 2.5 | Saints | Saints | 1 | Correct | 5.5 |
10/16/16 | 6 | Sunday | Jaguars | 17 | Bears | 16 | -2.5 | Bears | Jaguars | 1 | Wrong | -3.5 |
10/16/16 | 6 | Sunday | 49ers | 16 | Bills | 45 | -7.5 | 49ers | Bills | 3 | Wrong | -21.5 |
10/16/16 | 6 | Sunday | Rams | 28 | Lions | 31 | -2.5 | Rams | Lions | 3 | Wrong | -0.5 |
10/16/16 | 6 | Sunday | Browns | 26 | Titans | 28 | -7.5 | Browns | Browns | 1 | Correct | 5.5 |
10/16/16 | 6 | Sunday | Eagles | 20 | Commanders | 27 | 3 | Eagles | Commanders | 1 | Wrong | -10 |
10/13/16 | 6 | Thu Night | Broncos | 13 | Chargers | 21 | 3 | Broncos | Chargers | 4 | Wrong | -11 |
10/10/16 | 5 | Mon Night | Buccaneers | 17 | Panthers | 14 | -6 | Panthers | Buccaneers | 1 | Wrong | -9 |
10/09/16 | 5 | Sun Night | Giants | 16 | Packers | 23 | -7 | Giants | 2 | Push | 0 | |
10/09/16 | 5 | Sun Late | Chargers | 31 | Raiders | 34 | -3.5 | Chargers | Chargers | 1 | Correct | 0.5 |
10/09/16 | 5 | Sun Late | Falcons | 23 | Broncos | 16 | -3.5 | Broncos | Falcons | 1 | Wrong | -10.5 |
10/09/16 | 5 | Sun Late | Bills | 30 | Rams | 19 | 2.5 | Bills | Bills | 2 | Correct | 8.5 |
10/09/16 | 5 | Sun Late | Bengals | 14 | Cowboys | 28 | 2.5 | Bengals | Cowboys | 4 | Wrong | -16.5 |
10/09/16 | 5 | Sunday | Texans | 13 | Vikings | 31 | -6 | Texans | Vikings | 3 | Wrong | -12 |
10/09/16 | 5 | Sunday | Titans | 30 | Dolphins | 17 | -3 | Titans | Titans | 3 | Correct | 16 |
10/09/16 | 5 | Sunday | Patriots | 33 | Browns | 13 | 10.5 | Patriots | Patriots | 2 | Correct | 9.5 |
10/09/16 | 5 | Sunday | Jets | 13 | Steelers | 31 | -9 | Steelers | Steelers | 1 | Correct | 9 |
10/09/16 | 5 | Sunday | Commanders | 16 | Ravens | 10 | -4 | Commanders | Commanders | 2 | Correct | 10 |
10/09/16 | 5 | Sunday | Eagles | 23 | Lions | 24 | 3.5 | Eagles | Lions | 4 | Wrong | -4.5 |
10/09/16 | 5 | Sunday | Bears | 23 | Colts | 29 | -4.5 | Bears | Colts | 1 | Wrong | -1.5 |
10/06/16 | 5 | Thu Night | Cardinals | 33 | 49ers | 21 | 4 | 49ers | Cardinals | 1 | Wrong | -8 |
10/03/16 | 4 | Mon Night | Giants | 10 | Vikings | 24 | -4 | Vikings | Vikings | 1 | Correct | 10 |
10/02/16 | 4 | Sun Night | Chiefs | 14 | Steelers | 43 | -3.5 | Chiefs | Steelers | 2 | Wrong | -25.5 |
10/02/16 | 4 | Sun Late | Broncos | 27 | Buccaneers | 7 | 3.5 | Broncos | Broncos | 2 | Correct | 16.5 |
10/02/16 | 4 | Sun Late | Cowboys | 24 | 49ers | 17 | 1.5 | 49ers | Cowboys | 2 | Wrong | -5.5 |
10/02/16 | 4 | Sun Late | Saints | 35 | Chargers | 34 | -4 | Saints | Saints | 1 | Correct | 5 |
10/02/16 | 4 | Sun Late | Rams | 17 | Cardinals | 13 | -9.5 | Rams | Rams | 2 | Correct | 13.5 |
10/02/16 | 4 | Sunday | Colts | 27 | Jaguars | 30 | 2 | Colts | Jaguars | 2 | Wrong | -5 |
10/02/16 | 4 | Sunday | Browns | 20 | Commanders | 31 | -7.5 | Browns | Commanders | 1 | Wrong | -3.5 |
10/02/16 | 4 | Sunday | Bills | 16 | Patriots | 0 | -5 | Bills | Bills | 2 | Correct | 21 |
10/02/16 | 4 | Sunday | Seahawks | 27 | Jets | 17 | 1 | Jets | Seahawks | 1 | Wrong | -9 |
10/02/16 | 4 | Sunday | Panthers | 33 | Falcons | 48 | 3 | Panthers | Falcons | 3 | Wrong | -18 |
10/02/16 | 4 | Sunday | Lions | 14 | Bears | 17 | 3 | Lions | Bears | 1 | Wrong | -6 |
10/02/16 | 4 | Sunday | Titans | 20 | Texans | 27 | -4 | Titans | Texans | 1 | Wrong | -3 |
10/02/16 | 4 | Sunday | Raiders | 28 | Ravens | 27 | -3.5 | Raiders | Raiders | 1 | Correct | 4.5 |
09/29/16 | 4 | Thu Night | Dolphins | 7 | Bengals | 22 | -7.5 | Dolphins | Bengals | 1 | Wrong | -7.5 |
09/26/16 | 3 | Mon Night | Falcons | 45 | Saints | 32 | -3 | Falcons | Falcons | 1 | Correct | 16 |
09/25/16 | 3 | Sun Night | Bears | 17 | Cowboys | 31 | -4.5 | Bears | Cowboys | 1 | Wrong | -9.5 |
09/25/16 | 3 | Sun Late | 49ers | 18 | Seahawks | 37 | -10 | 49ers | Seahawks | 1 | Wrong | -9 |
09/25/16 | 3 | Sun Late | Rams | 37 | Buccaneers | 32 | -3.5 | Rams | Rams | 2 | Correct | 8.5 |
09/25/16 | 3 | Sun Late | Steelers | 3 | Eagles | 34 | 4 | Steelers | Eagles | 2 | Wrong | -35 |
09/25/16 | 3 | Sun Late | Jets | 3 | Chiefs | 24 | -3 | Jets | Chiefs | 1 | Wrong | -18 |
09/25/16 | 3 | Sun Late | Chargers | 22 | Colts | 26 | -1.5 | Chargers | Colts | 1 | Wrong | -2.5 |
09/25/16 | 3 | Sunday | Broncos | 29 | Bengals | 17 | -3.5 | Broncos | Broncos | 1 | Correct | 15.5 |
09/25/16 | 3 | Sunday | Raiders | 17 | Titans | 10 | 1.5 | Raiders | Raiders | 1 | Correct | 5.5 |
09/25/16 | 3 | Sunday | Cardinals | 18 | Bills | 33 | 5 | Cardinals | Bills | 1 | Wrong | -20 |
09/25/16 | 3 | Sunday | Browns | 24 | Dolphins | 30 | -10 | Browns | Browns | 1 | Correct | 4 |
09/25/16 | 3 | Sunday | Commanders | 29 | Giants | 27 | -3.5 | Commanders | Commanders | 1 | Correct | 5.5 |
09/25/16 | 3 | Sunday | Vikings | 22 | Panthers | 10 | -6.5 | Vikings | Vikings | 1 | Correct | 18.5 |
09/25/16 | 3 | Sunday | Ravens | 19 | Jaguars | 17 | 2 | Ravens | 1 | Push | 0 | |
09/25/16 | 3 | Sunday | Lions | 27 | Packers | 34 | -7 | Lions | 1 | Push | 0 | |
09/22/16 | 3 | Thu Night | Texans | 0 | Patriots | 27 | 2.5 | Texans | Patriots | 1 | Wrong | -29.5 |
09/19/16 | 2 | Mon Night | Eagles | 29 | Bears | 14 | -3 | Eagles | Eagles | 2 | Correct | 18 |
09/18/16 | 2 | Sun Night | Packers | 14 | Vikings | 17 | 2 | Packers | Vikings | 2 | Wrong | -5 |
09/18/16 | 2 | Sun Late | Buccaneers | 7 | Cardinals | 40 | -7 | Buccaneers | Cardinals | 2 | Wrong | -26 |
09/18/16 | 2 | Sun Late | Seahawks | 3 | Rams | 9 | 5.5 | Seahawks | Rams | 2 | Wrong | -11.5 |
09/18/16 | 2 | Sun Late | Colts | 20 | Broncos | 34 | -6 | Colts | Broncos | 2 | Wrong | -8 |
09/18/16 | 2 | Sun Late | Falcons | 35 | Raiders | 28 | -4 | Falcons | Falcons | 2 | Correct | 11 |
09/18/16 | 2 | Sun Late | Jaguars | 14 | Chargers | 38 | -3 | Jaguars | Chargers | 2 | Wrong | -21 |
09/18/16 | 2 | Sunday | Titans | 16 | Lions | 15 | -6 | Titans | Titans | 2 | Correct | 7 |
09/18/16 | 2 | Sunday | Chiefs | 12 | Texans | 19 | -1 | Chiefs | Texans | 2 | Wrong | -6 |
09/18/16 | 2 | Sunday | Dolphins | 24 | Patriots | 31 | -5.5 | Dolphins | Patriots | 2 | Wrong | -1.5 |
09/18/16 | 2 | Sunday | Ravens | 25 | Browns | 20 | 4.5 | Ravens | Ravens | 2 | Correct | 0.5 |
09/18/16 | 2 | Sunday | Bengals | 16 | Steelers | 24 | -3 | Bengals | Steelers | 1 | Wrong | -5 |
09/18/16 | 2 | Sunday | Cowboys | 27 | Commanders | 23 | -3 | Cowboys | Cowboys | 2 | Correct | 7 |
09/18/16 | 2 | Sunday | Saints | 13 | Giants | 16 | -3.5 | Saints | Saints | 2 | Correct | 0.5 |
09/18/16 | 2 | Sunday | 49ers | 27 | Panthers | 46 | -12.5 | 49ers | Panthers | 2 | Wrong | -6.5 |
09/15/16 | 2 | Thu Night | Jets | 37 | Bills | 31 | Even | Jets | Jets | 2 | Correct | 6 |
09/12/16 | 1 | Mon Night | Steelers | 38 | Commanders | 16 | 2 | Steelers | Steelers | 2 | Correct | 20 |
09/12/16 | 1 | Mon Night | Rams | 0 | 49ers | 28 | 3 | Rams | 49ers | 1 | Wrong | -31 |
09/11/16 | 1 | Sun Night | Patriots | 23 | Cardinals | 21 | -8.5 | Patriots | Patriots | 1 | Correct | 10.5 |
09/11/16 | 1 | Sun Late | Lions | 39 | Colts | 35 | -3 | Lions | Lions | 1 | Correct | 7 |
09/11/16 | 1 | Sun Late | Dolphins | 10 | Seahawks | 12 | -10.5 | Dolphins | Dolphins | 1 | Correct | 8.5 |
09/11/16 | 1 | Sun Late | Giants | 20 | Cowboys | 19 | 1 | Giants | 1 | Push | 0 | |
09/11/16 | 1 | Sunday | Bengals | 23 | Jets | 22 | 1 | Bengals | 1 | Push | 0 | |
09/11/16 | 1 | Sunday | Packers | 27 | Jaguars | 23 | 4.5 | Jaguars | Jaguars | 1 | Correct | 0.5 |
09/11/16 | 1 | Sunday | Vikings | 25 | Titans | 16 | 2.5 | Titans | Vikings | 2 | Wrong | -6.5 |
09/11/16 | 1 | Sunday | Chargers | 27 | Chiefs | 33 | -6.5 | Chargers | Chargers | 1 | Correct | 0.5 |
09/11/16 | 1 | Sunday | Raiders | 35 | Saints | 34 | -3 | Raiders | Raiders | 2 | Correct | 4 |
09/11/16 | 1 | Sunday | Bills | 7 | Ravens | 13 | -3 | Bills | Ravens | 1 | Wrong | -3 |
09/11/16 | 1 | Sunday | Bears | 14 | Texans | 23 | -5.5 | Bears | Texans | 1 | Wrong | -3.5 |
09/11/16 | 1 | Sunday | Browns | 10 | Eagles | 29 | -3.5 | Browns | Eagles | 1 | Wrong | -15.5 |
09/11/16 | 1 | Sunday | Buccaneers | 31 | Falcons | 24 | -2.5 | Buccaneers | Buccaneers | 2 | Correct | 9.5 |
09/08/16 | 1 | Thu Night | Panthers | 20 | Broncos | 21 | 3 | Panthers | Broncos | 1 | Wrong | -4 |